It's time for the final TimTeblog.com prediction of where Tim Tebow will be picked in the 2010 NFL Draft:
Tim Tebow: 1st Round, No. 30 overall, to the Minnesota Vikings.
It makes sense for a lot of reasons, most capably explained here by the Minneapolis Star-Tribune's Mike Rand: (Eventual) need, upside, time to develop, success with "reach" picks.
I love his third point, which I think has been almost entirely overlooked, while everyone worries about how many years it will take Tebow to develop into an NFL QB:
While Sam Bradford and Jimmy Clausen and Colt McCoy might sit the entire year without contributing anything, Tebow could very conceivably step in for 4-6 incredibly crucial snaps per game -- short-yardage situations, goal-line situations.
In other words: Situations where games are won and lost. All as a rookie.
There is also that cryptic quote from Tebow's agent Jimmy Sexton, who said he has a pretty good idea of where Tebow will be taken, implying it would be the first round. Well, given the uncertainty of trading -- particularly trading into the 1st round -- that would seemingly eliminate the Bills trading up to the mid-20s... and suggest a team with a "natural" pick: The Vikings.
Again, from earlier this morning: All signs point to Tebow being taken in the 1st round, and the most likely contender -- and best fit -- would be the Minnesota Vikings.
*Bills trade up into the mid-20s.
Only realistic if he drops into the 2nd round (which we don't think is realistic):
*Bills trade up to low-30s
*Patriots trade up to low-30s
*Broncos trade up to low-30s
*Seahawks trade up to low-30s
*Eagles at 37
*Browns at 38
*Raiders at 39
*Bills at 41 (any team beyond 39)
*Jaguars at all.