Monday, January 11, 2010

NFL Tebow: Carroll in Seattle Shakes Up Draft Priorities?

There are a handful of NFL teams who had been widely considered to be amenable to drafting Tim Tebow in the 1st round of the 2010 NFL Draft: Jaguars, Bills, Redskins, Patriots, Seahawks.

I think we can scratch Seattle off the list. Despite having two 1st-round picks, they have a new head coach (and decision-maker), Pete Carroll, and Tebow doesn't fit Carroll's model for QBs.

Consider: Carson Palmer, Matt Leinart, Matt Cassel, Mark Sanchez, Matt Barkley. Technically perfect, accurate, strong-arm QBs who play in a prototype "pro-style" set.

Given that Matt Hasselbeck has a few years left in him and that there will be plenty of Carroll-style QBs available in the draft in coming years -- including Barkley in 2012 -- I don't see Carroll using one of those two 1st round picks on Tebow.

There could be reverberations: Jaguars coach Jack Del Rio has been mentioned as a possible successor to Carroll. Beyond the fact that it would be a terrible move for USC (and give Jags fans some hope), it is unlikely this would impact whether or not the team drafts Tebow -- Tebow has always been a bit of an irrational pick for the team, and a new coach won't change that.

The Bills are still looking for a coach -- this should, in theory, impact whether the team is interested.

In other recent coaching changes, I find it hard to believe that Mike Shanahan's first pick as head of the Redskins will be on Tebow in the Top 5 of the draft.

All signs continue to point to Tebow going to the Jaguars at No. 10 or No. 11.

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